Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.790002e-05 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000071 0.000081 0.000093
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.800773e-05 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000074 0.000090 0.000110
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.317955e-05 0.000033 0.000045 0.000061 0.000080 0.000102 0.000129
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.837520e-05 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081 0.000108 0.000142
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.533902e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000085 0.000116 0.000157
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.209999e-05 0.000022 0.000036 0.000057 0.000085 0.000120 0.000166
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.758189e-06 0.000019 0.000034 0.000055 0.000085 0.000124 0.000176
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.217172e-06 0.000018 0.000032 0.000055 0.000088 0.000130 0.000189
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.737138e-06 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000089 0.000135 0.000199
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.567534e-06 0.000014 0.000029 0.000053 0.000090 0.000139 0.000209
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.548379e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000052 0.000091 0.000143 0.000219
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.569743e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000051 0.000090 0.000145 0.000225
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.572495e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000048 0.000089 0.000148 0.000235
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.846673e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000047 0.000089 0.000152 0.000246
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.529782e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000094 0.000163 0.000266
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.084179e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000047 0.000095 0.000167 0.000278
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.230329e-07 0.000006 0.000019 0.000047 0.000097 0.000175 0.000294
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.256263e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000045 0.000096 0.000176 0.000302
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.379312e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000096 0.000180 0.000313
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.331992e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000044 0.000098 0.000186 0.000328
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.430553e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000043 0.000099 0.000191 0.000339
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.490452e-08 0.000003 0.000013 0.000042 0.000100 0.000195 0.000352
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.508464e-08 0.000002 0.000013 0.000041 0.000100 0.000199 0.000363